HOOD

BuyBullish

Robinhood Markets Inc · NASDAQ NMS - GLOBAL MARKET

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Price history

AI thesis

HOOD is consolidating just below its 50-day SMA after a short-term pullback, with a bullish MACD crossover indicating building upward momentum. Strong 60-day momentum and a rising RSI suggest the broader uptrend remains intact despite declining short-term volume. A decisive break above the 50-day SMA should trigger a continuation towards the $115 level.

Entry zone

$94.00 – $100.50

Target

$115.00

Stop-loss

$89.00

Horizon

3-6 weeks

Buy when · Buy when the stock closes above $100.00 on expanding volume.

Sell when · Sell if the stock drops below the $89.00 support level or reaches the $115.00 target.

Risks

Failure to break above the 50-day moving average of $99.72
High annualized volatility of 71.74% leading to sharp drawdowns
Declining short-term volume indicates a temporary lack of buying pressure

Confidence

65%

Indicators

RSI (14): 68.1
SMA 20: $103.30
SMA 50: $102.45
SMA 200: $95.10
MACD: 4.92 / 2.77
20d momentum: +30.89%
60d momentum: +41.40%
52w range: $65.16 – $152.46
Volatility (ann.): +74.12%
Volume trend: -8.82%

Option ideas on HOOD

CALL $101.00 · 2026-09-18Buy

Premium $7.48 · Break-even $108.48 · Δ 0.51

This ITM/ATM LEAPS call provides a leveraged way to play the expected breakout over $100 with ample time to maturity.

Buy: Buy when HOOD stock breaks and holds above $100.

Sell: Sell if HOOD falls below $89.00 or the contract premium gains 50%.

CALL $106.00 · 2026-09-18Buy

Premium $5.56 · Break-even $111.56 · Δ 0.42

Slightly out-of-the-money call option offering a cheaper entry point for a longer-term bullish continuation strategy.

Buy: Buy when the stock price surpasses $100.50 on high volume.

Sell: Sell if premium drops by 40% or underlying hits the $115 target.

PUT $92.00 · 2026-09-18Hold

Premium $4.65 · Break-even $87.35 · Δ -0.31

An out-of-the-money put option acting as a cheaper tail-risk hedge for a long portfolio.

Buy: Buy if HOOD breaks below the 20-day SMA at $93.71 on heavy volume.

Sell: Sell if HOOD rebounds back above $100.

PUT $97.00 · 2026-09-18Hold

Premium $6.85 · Break-even $90.15 · Δ -0.41

This protective put can serve as a downside hedge but is expensive due to the 71.74% annualized volatility.

Buy: Buy only if hedging a long equity position and HOOD drops below $95.

Sell: Sell if stock recovers above $105 or premium reaches $10.00.

PUT $97.00 · 2026-10-16Hold

Premium $9.78 · Break-even $87.22 · Δ -0.40

A protective put with high premium cost; not favored given strong medium-term momentum indicators.

Buy: Buy only if HOOD loses the 200-day moving average of $96.55.

Sell: Sell if HOOD breaks above $105.

CALL $101.00 · 2026-10-16Strong Buy

Premium $10.78 · Break-even $111.78 · Δ 0.54

Long-dated call option with high delta (0.54) that captures the bullish MACD shift with an extra month of duration.

Buy: Buy when HOOD closes above $100.

Sell: Sell when HOOD reaches $120 or contract loses 35% of its value.

PUT $92.00 · 2026-10-16Hold

Premium $7.39 · Break-even $84.61 · Δ -0.33

Out-of-the-money hedge contract with high premium cost, inefficient unless expecting a severe market-wide correction.

Buy: Buy if HOOD breaks below $92 support.

Sell: Sell if HOOD stabilizes above $100.

CALL $106.00 · 2026-10-16Buy

Premium $8.82 · Break-even $114.82 · Δ 0.47

A solid risk-reward LEAPS contract for a breakout scenario past the major SMA resistance levels.

Buy: Buy when HOOD breaks above $100.

Sell: Sell if HOOD falls below $89.